COP28 has once again underscored the challenges in achieving consensus on energy system development. The debate revolves around either 'phasing out fossil fuels' or the 'need for emission reduction.' This economic tug-of-war involves fossil fuel producers, the demand for cost-effective energy from smaller nations, and the consumer's deployment preferences.
Amidst COP28, the UN Food and Agriculture Organisation released a new “roadmap” for reforming global food systems in line with 1.5C of warming. While it delineates 20 key targets spanning from 2025 to 2050, the specifics on how to achieve the COP28 Nuclear Commitments remain elusive.
There’s a viewpoint advocating for a “phase-out of fossil fuels” as the logical decision, calling for a consensus between ‘Climate Activists’ and ‘Energy Pragmatists.’
On December 2nd, during COP28, an alliance of 21 countries declared their commitment to triple the deployment of nuclear power by 2050. U.S. climate envoy John Kerry emphasized that achieving “net zero” emissions is impossible without building new reactors. The promotion of nuclear power has played a significant role in the COP28 talks however political concerns over the weaponisation of nuclear materials remain, be it the development of nuclear weapons or the deployment of ‘dirty bombs’.
The endorsing nations include Canada, Czechia, Ghana, Finland, Hungary, Japan, Moldova, Mongolia, Morocco, Netherlands, Poland, Republic of Korea, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Ukraine, UAE, United States of America, and the United Kingdom.
While nuclear power plants can produce low-carbon electricity for up to 80–100 years, new projects require substantial upfront costs, necessitating the importance of securing access to affordable finance to build these projects.
The COP28 Declaration invites stakeholders of the World Bank and other financial institutions to:
- encourage the inclusion of nuclear energy in their organizations’ energy lending policies
- actively support nuclear power when they have such a mandate,
- encourage regional bodies that have the mandate to do so to consider providing financial support to nuclear energy.
The Declaration also pledges support for the development and construction of nuclear reactors, including small modular and advanced reactors for power generation and broader industrial decarbonization applications.
In conjunction with COP28, Markus Söder, the German opposition leader, and the chairman of the Christian Social Union (CSU), has criticised the federal government’s nuclear policy. If he participates in the government after the next federal election, he aims not only to restart old nuclear power plants but also to expand the role of nuclear power in Germany.
This shift involves three main demands:
- Germany is urged to join the nuclear power alliance of 22 nations which has just committed to increasing nuclear power use at COP28.
- A moratorium on dismantling existing nuclear power plants is proposed, with preparations for restarting six plants that were shut down in 2021 and 2023.
- Promotion of research and development in next-generation nuclear reactors and fusion technology, with the aim of building the world’s first fusion power plant in Germany.
While large conventional nuclear reactors are regarded as essential to a stable electricity network their cost and deployment time are considered Achilles’ Heel. The focus within the IAEA is on developing small modular reactors (SMRs), advanced reactors producing up to 300 MW(e) per module.
Globally there are more than 80 SMR designs and concepts that are in various developmental stages and some are claimed as being near-term deployable. There are currently four SMRs in advanced stages of construction in Argentina, China and Russia. With the intent to achieve competitiveness, ensure reliable performance, reduce the time required for construction, these reactors designed to be built in factories, could be deployed either as a single or multi-module plant. Common infrastructure issues also have to be addressed to be inline with COP28 Nuclear Commitments.
About the Author
John Ireland is an internationally experienced energy specialist and senior business executive skilled in the development, negotiation, and management of businesses and technically complex contracts within both the Government and private sectors. John has grown complex businesses in Asia and the Middle East, and assisted international organisations to develop business in and from the UK through joint ventures and partnerships.
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